The first 21-ton stage of China's Changjeng-5B launch vehicle, which was recently used in the launch of the Wensian laboratory module for the Chinese orbital station, will fall uncontrollably to Earth within the next few days, which may pose a danger to people, as stated by a space debris tracker and other objects from the Harvard-Smixon Astrophysics Center, Jonathan McDowell.
China has successfully conducted a mission to bring into space the Wenyan laboratory module and its connection to the Tiangun orbital station, but there is still a spent stage in space that is expected to enter the Earth's atmosphere and fall within the next few days, but no one knows in which region of the world it will occur.
The source notes that China had already conducted such launches in 2020 and 2021, when the main mission was accompanied by the uncontrolled fall of spent parts of the Changjeng 5B heavy missiles. Jonathan McDowell stated that the US was doing better to dispose of the booster blocks, while China did not always pay sufficient attention to the issue.
At this point in time, it is difficult to tell exactly where the spent stage of a Chinese rocket will fall; the American military, which monitors the movement of artificial objects in orbit, has not made any official statements or warnings; the Aerospace Corporation, which usually warns of large artificial objects that enter the Earth's atmosphere, has not made any statements either.
In fact, the probability that people will be affected by the crash of the Chanjeng-5B rocket is minimal, but it is important to understand that the rocket is huge, so if it falls in a populated part of the planet, the consequences can be disastrous. Remind me, earlier this week, Canadian scientists published a study that shows that within the next ten years, with a probability of 10% space debris killing someone on Earth.